you need javascript for this functionality DCHC MPO - 2045 Metropolitan Transportation Plan & Air Quality Report

2045 Metropolitan Transportation Plan

2045 MTP

The 2045 MTP lists all the highway, transit, and non-automobile transportation projects that the MPO plans to fund in the future. The 2045 MTP is to be developed from January 2016 through June 2017 and in partnership with the Triangle J Council of Government (TJCOG) and the Capital Area MPO (CAMPO).

Request for Public Comment

2045 MTP Goals and Objectives

The first step in planning for the 2045 Metropolitan Transportation Plan is to create a set of Goals and Objectives. It is important to understand that this document will drive the MPO’s policies and project decision-making process in the future. In addition, the MPO attaches performance measures to the Goals and Objectives that will help the MPO Board and the pubic assess the extent to which the region’s transportation system is meeting the Goals and Objectives.

This Webpage presents the process for developing the Goals, Objectives and Performance Measures. At this point, the public input process has ended but the MPO has not yet adopted the final document because development of the Performance Measures continues.

The MPO requested that the public review the draft Goals, Objectives and Performance Measures and provide feedback to the MPO. This public comment period was from Friday, February 12, 2016 through Friday, April 1, 2016. There are several options for participating, including:
You can communicate your transportation values to the MPO by completing a short survey at the preceding link.

​Draft Goals, Objectives and Performance Measures

Public Workshop
Stop in anytime between 4 and 7 pm at the Durham Station Transportation Center (corner of W. Pettigrew St. and W. Chapel Hill St.) on Thursday, March 17 to learn more about your future transportation system and provide your comments on the Goals, Objectives and Performance Measures.

Public Hearing
You can provide feedback on the Goals, Objectives and Performance Measures to local elected officials (DCHC MPO Board) on Wednesday, March 9, 2016 at 9:00 AM in the Committee Room (2nd Floor of Durham City Hall, 101 City Hall Plaza). Persons with disabilities will be accommodated -- provisions must be requested at least 48 hours in advance of the meeting.

Comments and questions should be directed to:

Andy Henry, City of Durham, Transportation Department
101 City Hall Plaza
Durham, NC 27701
E-mail: Phone:(919) 560-4366, ext. 36419


The MPO forecasts socioeconomic data (SE Data), such as dwelling units, population and employment, to the year 2045 and uses that data as a key input into the travel demand model (called the Triangle Regional Model, or TRM). The process starts with the 2045 guide totals, which are county- level population and employment projections for the year 2045, and proceeds to the Community Visualization model that distributes the dwelling units and employment to particular parcels based on land availability and suitability. The following document will provide details of this process and the output:

2045 MTP Guide Totals
Community Visualization

Connect 2045 -- Scenarios

Different scenarios, or different ways that the region might be, are created under the name Connect 2045. More information on how and why these scenarios are created can be found here. This section present the output of the various scenarios as it becomes available.

​Community Plans
This scenario is based on the adopted local land use plans.

New household distribution map (2013-2045)
New employment distribution map (2013-2045)
County-level distribution tables (2013-2045)

AIM High

This scenario output is not yet available.


​What is a Deficiency Analysis?

The concept is fairly simple. The analysis compares today’s travel conditions with that of a future year. Thus, the Deficiency Analysis shows staff, the MPO and the public where transportation investments in highways, transit and other modes are needed to address the future travel demands. It will guide the development and evaluation of the various transportation alternatives that will be considered in a subsequent step of the 2045 MTP development.

​What Future Year is Used?

The measures and maps are based on a travel demand model that estimates conditions in two different years:

​2013- This is 2013 population and employment using the existing transportation system of streets, transit, etc., and reflects the current travel conditions.

​2045 E+C- This is the estimated 2045 population and employment using the existing transportation system plus any projects that are committed to construction or implementation. “E+C” means “Existing plus Committed.” This “no build” scenario allows us to see where future deficiencies are to be expected.

What is the Next Step?

With the MPO’s Goals and Objectives in mind, staff will use the deficiency data to create several alternatives to meet the future travel demand. This Alternatives Analysis will be released to the public and will include public meetings and a hearing to help gather people’s comments.

2045 MTP Deficiency Analysis

The draft Deficiency Analysis will be posted by 5/24/17.